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Red50
516621.2
612118.9
26199.1
Blue33
71557.1
364124.2
511015.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495402040801001201405033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#18
21.20.4
20.020.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.8
End4.1
blue by 3.0
24.21.2
24.423.2
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Second
18.90.4
17.117.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.6
red by 3.6
5110
#24
15.31.2
15.214.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Third
2619
#30
9.10.4
7.88.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.9
red by 2.0
7155
#20
7.11.2
8.47.2
Auto0.9
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed