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Red48
608715.2
521618.0
360320.7
Blue60
66429.2
353620.9
213719.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62532040801004860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#21
20.70.5
20.319.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
blue by 0.2
20.90.1
20.020.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Second
5216
#15
18.00.5
19.719.2
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 1.5
19.50.1
18.918.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Third
6087
#12
15.20.5
14.614.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End2.8
red by 6.0
6642
#16
9.20.1
10.210.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed