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Red82
511015.3
364124.2
171119.9
Blue75
191817.3
607719.0
521618.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64592040801008275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.1
23.423.5
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End2.3
red by 5.2
6077
#14
19.00.1
18.819.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Second
19.90.1
19.219.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 1.9
5216
#15
18.00.1
17.818.0
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Third
5110
#24
15.30.1
14.514.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 2.0
1918
#19
17.30.1
17.117.3
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End1.9