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Red71
511015.3
364124.2
171119.9
Blue58
550518.7
516621.2
360320.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636830405080901007158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.3
23.523.8
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End2.3
red by 3.0
5166
#18
21.20.1
21.321.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.8
End4.1
Second
19.90.3
19.319.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End0.9
blue by 0.8
3603
#21
20.70.1
20.820.7
Auto9.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Third
5110
#24
15.30.3
14.614.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 3.4
5505
#11
18.70.1
18.818.7
Auto8.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6