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Red77
365523.6
564114.4
860828.8
Blue58
705631.1
567621.9
52059.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7269204060801001201407758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.0
28.328.3
Auto11.3
Teleop13.3
End4.2
blue by 2.3
31.10.2
31.331.1
Auto13.3
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Second
23.60.0
23.123.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.2
red by 1.7
21.90.2
22.121.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Third
5641
#34
14.40.0
13.813.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End0.7
red by 5.2
5205
#22
9.10.2
9.49.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End0.2