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Red44
83748.1
860828.8
370725.2
Blue61
261134.0
607817.1
65917.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565030406070804461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.7
20.119.4
Auto11.3
Teleop13.3
End4.2
blue by 5.2
34.01.0
28.329.3
Auto15.1
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Second
25.20.7
22.822.1
Auto9.6
Teleop13.8
End1.7
red by 8.1
6078
#14
17.11.0
12.413.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End3.1
Third
8374
#35
8.10.7
6.76.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.9
End0.8
red by 0.5
6591
#28
7.61.0
5.56.5
Auto4.3
Teleop1.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed