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Red50
852220.3
567621.9
9410.8
Blue15
57049.5
55179.0
92383.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5270204060801005015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.6
18.919.5
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 12.4
5704
#31DQ
9.50.2
6.16.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End1.2
Second
8522
#13
20.30.6
14.314.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.8
red by 11.3
5517
#37
9.00.2
5.05.2
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Third
94
#25
10.80.6
8.28.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.5
red by 7.1
9238
#36
3.70.2
0.30.5
Auto2.5
Teleop0.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed