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Red38
722516.3
71959.3
607817.1
Blue44
65569.2
716617.5
852220.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384702060803844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#14
17.10.2
14.814.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End3.1
blue by 3.2
8522
#13
20.30.2
15.515.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Second
7225
#27
16.30.2
14.915.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 1.2
7166
#21
17.50.2
19.819.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
Third
7195
#30
9.30.2
5.55.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End0.8
red by 0.1
6556
#17
9.20.2
6.36.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed