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Red29
56238.6
57049.5
65917.6
Blue7
92417.9
92383.7
92039.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202105101525303540297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5704
#31
9.50.2
7.67.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End1.2
red by 0.4
9203
#24
9.10.7
7.16.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End2.1
Second
5623
#33
8.60.2
4.03.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End1.5
red by 0.7
9241
#39
7.90.7
9.68.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.1
End1.1
Third
6591
#28
7.60.2
7.27.1
Auto4.3
Teleop1.0
End2.2
red by 3.8
9238
#36
3.70.7
1.50.7
Auto2.5
Teleop0.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed