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Red53
860828.8
725410.2
55179.0
Blue54
923720.6
52345.7
722516.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364402060801005354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.0
21.322.2
Auto11.3
Teleop13.3
End4.2
red by 8.2
20.60.0
17.817.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Second
7254
#26
10.21.0
7.48.4
Auto4.9
Teleop4.4
End0.9
blue by 6.1
7225
#27
16.30.0
15.115.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Third
5517
#37
9.01.0
4.95.8
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.1
red by 3.3
5234
#32
5.70.0
6.06.0
Auto3.5
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned