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Red38
65917.6
654824.6
71959.3
Blue49
97537.3
923720.6
57049.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373802060803849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.5
20.621.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.5
End2.5
red by 3.9
20.60.3
18.318.6
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Second
7195
#30
9.30.3
6.16.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End0.8
blue by 0.2
5704
#31
9.50.3
8.08.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End1.2
Third
6591
#28
7.60.3
6.97.2
Auto4.3
Teleop1.0
End2.2
red by 0.2
9753
#40DQ
7.30.5
8.28.7
Auto4.4
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed