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Red38
566021.1
56238.6
83748.1
Blue40
564114.4
52345.7
852220.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354202060803840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#16
21.10.4
21.021.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End1.2
red by 0.8
8522
#13
20.30.2
17.818.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.8
Second
5623
#33
8.60.4
5.15.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End1.5
blue by 5.7
5641
#34
14.40.2
14.714.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End0.7
Third
8374
#35
8.10.4
6.67.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.9
End0.8
red by 2.4
5234
#32
5.70.3
4.75.0
Auto3.5
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed