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Red48
92417.9
567416.4
722516.3
Blue54
553320.1
83748.1
567621.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435920801004854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5674
#18
16.40.1
16.917.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 5.6
21.90.2
24.023.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Second
7225
#27
16.30.1
15.715.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 3.8
20.10.2
20.920.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Third
9241
#39
7.90.1
8.58.6
Auto1.7
Teleop5.1
End1.1
blue by 0.2
8374
#35
8.10.2
7.06.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed