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Red53
362024.9
92039.1
567416.4
Blue62
97038.9
607817.1
567621.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53543040506070805362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#10
24.90.3
21.421.7
Auto12.0
Teleop11.1
End1.8
red by 3.0
21.90.2
23.824.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Second
5674
#18
16.40.3
17.117.4
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 0.8
6078
#14
17.10.2
15.615.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End3.1
Third
9203
#24
9.10.3
9.69.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End2.1
red by 0.3
9703
#38
8.90.2
9.79.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned