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Red64
65917.6
705631.1
716617.5
Blue61
52345.7
362024.9
56238.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653402040801006461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.6
30.330.9
Auto13.3
Teleop15.3
End2.4
red by 6.2
3620
#10
24.91.4
21.723.2
Auto12.0
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Second
7166
#21
17.50.6
17.117.7
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
red by 8.9
5623
#33
8.61.4
8.09.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Third
6591
#28
7.60.6
7.58.1
Auto4.3
Teleop1.0
End2.2
red by 1.8
5234
#32
5.71.7
4.86.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed