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Red54
52059.1
567621.9
705631.1
Blue98
860828.8
564114.4
365523.6
49%Model gave it51%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7172506080901005498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.2
31.931.7
Auto13.3
Teleop15.3
End2.4
red by 2.3
28.80.3
27.928.3
Auto11.3
Teleop13.3
End4.2
Second
21.90.2
22.822.5
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End1.9
blue by 1.7
23.60.3
22.823.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Third
5205
#22
9.10.2
10.09.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End0.2
blue by 5.2
5641
#34
14.40.3
13.513.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End0.7