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Red0
615216.0
717435.7
590737.3
Blue101
3331.8
877411.8
125031.0
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977902040601201401600101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#2DQ
37.30.6
36.036.7
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End3.6
red by 5.5
33
#5
31.80.2
31.331.4
Auto10.9
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Second
7174
#1DQ
35.70.6
34.535.1
Auto12.3
Teleop19.7
End3.7
red by 4.7
31.00.2
30.530.7
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.7
Third
6152
#34DQ
16.00.6
14.715.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.4
red by 4.2
8774
#21
11.80.2
11.411.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.3