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Red28
877411.8
519710.1
24010.6
Blue34
48548.9
509024.3
817913.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28490204060801002834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8774
#21
11.80.3
10.29.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.3
blue by 12.5
5090
#12
24.30.8
22.521.7
Auto14.5
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Second
240
#24
10.60.3
9.49.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End2.2
blue by 3.1
8179
#20
13.70.8
11.210.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End1.2
Third
5197
#23
10.10.3
8.48.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End0.5
red by 1.2
4854
#26
8.91.4
7.96.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed