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Red89
125031.0
48548.9
590737.3
Blue51
283216.9
506615.6
817913.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8538020601001201408951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.7
35.235.9
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End3.6
red by 20.4
2832
#18
16.90.3
14.614.3
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Second
31.00.7
26.727.4
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.7
red by 15.4
5066
#27
15.60.3
14.814.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.9
Third
4854
#26
8.91.2
9.210.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End0.7
blue by 4.8
8179
#20
13.70.3
10.910.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed