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Red68
47379.8
6615.7
364129.9
Blue30
505310.9
71917.1
5122.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5745020801001206830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.2
28.930.1
Auto8.5
Teleop18.4
End2.9
red by 7.9
51
#14
22.00.8
22.521.8
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.8
Second
66
#17
15.71.2
12.914.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End4.7
red by 4.8
5053
#32
10.90.8
12.311.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End2.1
Third
4737
#29
9.81.2
8.29.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End1.9
red by 2.7
7191
#30
7.10.8
7.06.2
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed