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Red64
922615.3
717435.7
506615.6
Blue51
769212.1
691414.5
877411.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704202060801001206451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.3
33.633.8
Auto12.3
Teleop19.7
End3.7
red by 21.2
14.50.7
15.516.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.2
Second
5066
#27
15.60.3
14.514.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.9
red by 3.5
7692
#25
12.11.1
14.715.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Third
9226
#19
15.30.3
12.112.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End1.4
red by 3.5
8774
#21
11.80.7
11.111.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed