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Red70
817913.7
505310.9
590737.3
Blue37
842611.3
769212.1
519710.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684202060801007037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.4
35.535.9
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End3.6
red by 25.2
7692
#25
12.10.9
15.714.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Second
8179
#20
13.70.4
11.011.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End1.2
red by 2.3
8426
#39
11.30.5
14.013.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End1.2
Third
5053
#32
10.90.4
12.112.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End2.1
red by 0.8
5197
#23
10.10.5
11.210.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed