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Red76
506615.6
3331.8
514427.3
Blue92
360432.6
509024.3
5122.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7781506070901001101207692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
31.80.4
29.730.1
Auto10.9
Teleop19.1
End1.9
blue by 0.9
32.61.3
28.629.9
Auto11.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
Second
27.30.4
25.325.7
Auto7.9
Teleop17.6
End1.8
red by 3.0
5090
#12
24.31.3
22.123.4
Auto14.5
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Third
5066
#27
15.60.4
14.815.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.9
blue by 6.3
51
#14
22.01.3
21.823.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed