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Red58
519710.1
47379.8
514427.3
Blue40
755318.0
20487.7
842715.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534202060801005840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.4
25.726.2
Auto7.9
Teleop17.6
End1.8
red by 9.2
7553
#28
18.00.1
19.219.3
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Second
5197
#23
10.10.4
11.311.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End0.5
blue by 5.6
15.70.1
13.313.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Third
4737
#29
9.80.4
9.39.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End1.9
red by 2.1
2048
#35
7.70.1
6.46.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed