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Red86
717435.7
514427.3
283216.9
Blue17
71917.1
506615.6
519710.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93300204060801001201408617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.6
33.233.8
Auto12.3
Teleop19.7
End3.7
red by 20.1
5066
#27
15.61.2
15.113.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.9
Second
27.30.6
26.226.8
Auto7.9
Teleop17.6
End1.8
red by 17.2
5197
#23
10.11.2
11.810.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Third
2832
#18
16.90.6
17.117.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End2.1
red by 9.8
7191
#30
7.11.2
7.76.5
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed