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Red43
20487.7
584324.9
60579.8
Blue57
957212.7
922615.3
509024.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4160020801001204357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#10
24.90.2
24.724.9
Auto10.5
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 0.6
5090
#12
24.30.0
24.724.7
Auto14.5
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Second
6057
#22
9.80.2
8.48.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End2.6
blue by 5.5
9226
#19
15.30.0
15.615.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Third
2048
#35
7.70.2
6.46.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End0.9
blue by 5.1
9572
#37
12.70.0
11.811.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed