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Red29
86237.1
811513.0
615216.0
Blue64
514427.3
957212.7
24010.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3656020801002964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#34
16.00.4
13.813.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 11.2
27.30.7
26.327.0
Auto7.9
Teleop17.6
End1.8
Second
8115
#31
13.00.4
13.513.0
Auto7.0
Teleop4.2
End1.9
red by 0.3
9572
#37
12.70.7
11.812.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End0.4
Third
8623
#33
7.10.4
7.57.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End0.0
blue by 3.5
240
#24
10.60.7
9.910.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed