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Red14
48548.9
91486.3
37739.0
Blue70
506615.6
686119.0
6615.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26540204060801001470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3773
#38
9.00.9
9.99.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.1
blue by 10.0
6861
#13
19.01.0
17.518.5
Auto7.4
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Second
4854
#26
8.91.0
9.88.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End0.7
blue by 6.9
66
#17
15.71.0
14.415.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End4.7
Third
9148
#40
6.31.0
7.36.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 9.3
5066
#27
15.61.0
13.314.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned