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Red55
5122.0
755318.0
686119.0
Blue71
922615.3
590737.3
769212.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6163455055707580855571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#14
22.01.6
19.918.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.8
blue by 15.4
37.31.0
33.634.7
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End3.6
Second
6861
#13
19.01.6
16.214.6
Auto7.4
Teleop9.1
End2.6
red by 3.7
9226
#19
15.31.0
10.111.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Third
7553
#28
18.01.6
20.518.9
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End1.9
red by 5.9
7692
#25
12.11.7
12.313.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned