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Red67
364129.9
922615.3
842611.3
Blue68
283216.9
590737.3
3331.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561002040801201401606768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.3
29.529.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.4
End2.9
blue by 7.4
37.31.2
35.834.6
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End3.6
Second
9226
#19
15.30.3
15.615.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 16.4
33
#5
31.81.2
32.130.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Third
8426
#39
11.30.3
11.111.3
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End1.2
blue by 5.6
2832
#18
16.91.2
17.716.5
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed