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Red110
615216.0
717435.7
590737.3
Blue64
125031.0
817913.7
3331.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948220406010012014016011064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.6
35.536.0
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End3.6
red by 5.5
33
#5
31.80.3
31.431.1
Auto10.9
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Second
35.70.6
33.934.5
Auto12.3
Teleop19.7
End3.7
red by 4.7
31.00.3
30.630.3
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.7
Third
6152
#34
16.00.6
14.114.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.4
red by 2.3
8179
#20
13.70.3
13.813.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End1.2