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Red52
505310.9
509024.3
5122.0
Blue42
584324.9
691414.5
922615.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626345505560657075805242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#12
24.30.3
24.324.0
Auto14.5
Teleop8.1
End1.7
blue by 0.6
5843
#10
24.90.3
25.224.9
Auto10.5
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Second
51
#14
22.00.3
22.021.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.8
red by 6.6
9226
#19
15.30.3
15.615.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Third
5053
#32
10.90.3
11.010.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End2.1
blue by 3.6
14.50.3
14.814.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.2