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Red47
258627.2
92057.8
548613.3
Blue57
439137.3
663714.9
611310.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34690204060801004757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.8
20.221.0
Auto12.0
Teleop13.3
End1.9
blue by 10.1
37.30.4
34.934.5
Auto15.8
Teleop20.8
End0.7
Second
5486
#25
13.30.8
6.26.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End0.4
blue by 1.6
6637
#33
14.90.4
13.212.8
Auto7.0
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Third
9205
#40
7.81.3
8.810.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 2.6
6113
#15
10.40.4
10.19.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed