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Red56
608812.6
77944.8
439137.3
Blue27
97558.7
778218.1
609813.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions643402040801005627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.2
36.135.9
Auto15.8
Teleop20.8
End0.7
red by 19.2
7782
#11
18.10.5
14.714.2
Auto8.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Second
6088
#28
12.60.2
11.911.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.3
blue by 0.4
6098
#21
13.00.8
12.711.9
Auto7.0
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Third
7794
#37
4.80.2
6.66.4
Auto0.8
Teleop3.0
End1.0
blue by 4.0
9755
#32
8.70.5
6.86.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed