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Red51
548613.3
954811.9
663714.9
Blue55
656924.7
49887.7
554715.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33510204060805155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6637
#33
14.91.3
12.013.2
Auto7.0
Teleop5.8
End2.2
blue by 9.7
24.70.7
22.523.3
Auto10.7
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Second
5486
#25
13.31.3
8.49.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End0.4
blue by 2.0
5547
#20
15.30.7
15.416.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Third
9548
#24
11.91.3
11.312.6
Auto6.3
Teleop3.3
End2.2
red by 4.2
4988
#41
7.70.7
6.06.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed