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Red36
49887.7
531413.5
663714.9
Blue68
967413.9
14114.2
496725.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35550204060803668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6637
#33
14.90.1
13.814.0
Auto7.0
Teleop5.8
End2.2
blue by 10.9
25.91.4
23.424.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End2.1
Second
5314
#14
13.50.1
12.312.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
blue by 0.7
141
#22
14.21.4
12.013.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End2.0
Third
4988
#41
7.70.1
7.77.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.1
blue by 6.2
9674
#35
13.91.4
11.913.3
Auto7.1
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed