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Red43
778218.1
725011.6
611310.4
Blue44
65587.8
656924.7
437518.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34550204060801004344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7782
#11
18.10.7
14.815.4
Auto8.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
blue by 6.6
24.70.2
24.524.3
Auto10.7
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Second
7250
#19
11.61.1
10.211.3
Auto6.0
Teleop4.6
End1.1
blue by 6.6
4375
#23
18.30.2
17.517.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Third
6113
#15
10.40.7
8.28.9
Auto4.8
Teleop4.2
End1.4
red by 2.6
6558
#31
7.80.2
5.14.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed