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Red32
49887.7
607719.4
159621.4
Blue42
611310.4
439215.9
77944.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633002040801003242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.41.4
25.223.7
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
red by 5.5
4392
#17
15.90.1
15.115.2
Auto9.2
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Second
19.41.4
20.218.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
red by 9.0
6113
#15
10.40.1
8.98.9
Auto4.8
Teleop4.2
End1.4
Third
4988
#41
7.71.4
7.96.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.1
red by 2.9
7794
#37
4.80.1
7.07.1
Auto0.8
Teleop3.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed