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Red62
609813.0
611310.4
159621.4
Blue51
57068.8
531413.5
85728.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49572040801006251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.8
23.724.5
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
blue by 6.8
857
#3
28.20.3
27.927.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.0
End3.1
Second
6098
#21
13.01.1
12.613.7
Auto7.0
Teleop4.5
End1.5
blue by 0.5
5314
#14
13.50.3
13.913.6
Auto5.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
Third
6113
#15
10.40.8
8.99.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.2
End1.4
red by 1.6
5706
#30
8.80.3
9.08.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed