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Red16
49616.7
78135.3
921213.8
Blue63
78099.6
656614.0
317535.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1758040801001663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9212
#27
13.80.3
9.08.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.7
blue by 21.9
35.70.4
29.529.9
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.8
Second
4961
#26
6.70.3
7.16.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.4
blue by 7.3
6566
#15
14.00.4
11.411.8
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Third
7813
#20
5.30.3
3.93.7
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End1.3
blue by 4.3
7809
#17
9.60.4
6.77.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed