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Red55
546033.7
592617.0
97474.6
Blue57
656614.0
719727.1
366718.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58542040801005557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.2
28.228.3
Auto12.5
Teleop18.9
End2.4
red by 6.6
27.10.4
21.622.0
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.8
Second
5926
#19
17.00.2
17.517.7
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 2.0
3667
#21
18.90.4
15.616.0
Auto8.1
Teleop10.0
End0.8
Third
9747
#37
4.60.2
6.56.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.8
blue by 9.4
6566
#15
14.00.4
11.812.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed