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Red68
842313.8
609815.3
546033.7
Blue93
81824.1
317535.7
719727.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions558120401001206893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.3
29.429.8
Auto12.5
Teleop18.9
End2.4
blue by 2.0
35.70.8
30.531.4
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.8
Second
6098
#18
15.30.3
11.511.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End0.9
blue by 11.9
27.10.8
22.022.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.8
Third
8423
#14
13.80.3
12.312.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 10.3
818
#7
24.10.8
17.918.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed