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Red29
609915.0
95287.5
52393.2
Blue60
88269.0
656614.0
481018.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353520304050602960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6099
#33
15.00.5
16.415.9
Auto7.0
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 3.9
4810
#10
18.90.9
12.913.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Second
9528
#24
7.50.5
7.67.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.2
blue by 6.4
6566
#15
14.00.9
11.412.3
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Third
5239
#36
3.20.5
7.87.2
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End0.8
blue by 5.8
8826
#11
9.00.9
7.28.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned