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Red70
26049.2
88269.0
842313.8
Blue38
976510.1
555511.8
955819.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243201020405060707038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8423
#14
13.81.5
9.911.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 5.4
9558
#12
19.20.7
13.013.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Second
2604
#25
9.21.5
7.38.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 2.5
5555
#29
11.80.7
7.68.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End0.0
Third
8826
#11
9.01.5
5.57.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 1.1
9765
#34
10.10.7
7.38.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed