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Red34
592617.0
656614.0
976510.1
Blue71
481018.9
931228.4
586015.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415820801003471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#19
17.00.3
17.817.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 11.4
28.40.9
23.124.0
Auto11.5
Teleop14.3
End2.6
Second
6566
#15
14.00.3
12.312.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End1.8
blue by 4.9
4810
#10
18.90.9
13.814.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Third
9765
#34
10.10.3
9.28.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
blue by 5.4
5860
#32
15.50.9
13.314.2
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed