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Red85
78099.6
546033.7
91486.0
Blue44
776223.6
609815.3
95287.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474220306070808544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.9
29.830.7
Auto12.5
Teleop18.9
End2.4
red by 10.1
7762
#28
23.60.4
20.220.5
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End2.3
Second
7809
#17
9.60.9
7.28.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End0.6
blue by 5.7
6098
#18
15.30.4
11.411.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Third
9148
#22
6.00.9
5.05.8
Auto3.7
Teleop0.9
End1.5
blue by 1.5
9528
#24
7.50.4
7.17.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed