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Red105
353930.8
317535.7
612021.3
Blue33
481018.9
52356.4
609915.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9737020608012014016010533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.71.6
34.436.0
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.8
red by 16.8
4810
#10
18.90.5
14.814.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Second
30.81.6
26.528.1
Auto12.2
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 15.7
6099
#33
15.00.5
16.616.1
Auto7.0
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Third
21.31.6
19.921.6
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End1.6
red by 14.9
5235
#35
6.40.5
9.38.7
Auto1.3
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed