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Red71
78135.3
353930.8
955819.2
Blue15
776223.6
49616.7
97363.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6036020801007115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.8
29.130.0
Auto12.2
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 7.2
7762
#28
23.61.4
20.819.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End2.3
Second
9558
#12
19.20.8
17.017.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.3
End1.7
red by 12.6
4961
#26
6.71.4
8.77.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.4
Third
7813
#20
5.30.8
5.56.3
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End1.3
red by 1.5
9736
#38
3.81.4
5.94.5
Auto1.2
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed