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Red62
609815.3
118931.2
656710.8
Blue55
976510.1
609915.0
317535.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59692040801001206255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.0
30.530.6
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 4.5
35.70.4
35.535.1
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End2.8
Second
6098
#18
15.30.0
13.613.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End0.9
red by 0.2
6099
#33
15.00.4
15.114.7
Auto7.0
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Third
6567
#16
10.80.0
10.310.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End1.1
red by 0.7
9765
#34
10.10.4
10.510.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed