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Red67
81824.1
592617.0
78099.6
Blue63
52254.7
102329.9
366718.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475320304050607080906763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#7
24.10.6
19.620.2
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End1.3
blue by 5.8
29.91.0
26.427.4
Auto9.5
Teleop18.0
End2.4
Second
5926
#19
17.00.6
15.416.0
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 2.0
3667
#21
18.91.0
18.319.3
Auto8.1
Teleop10.0
End0.8
Third
7809
#17
9.60.6
8.18.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End0.6
red by 4.8
5225
#23
4.71.0
2.83.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed